onchain

🚨 More than half of active $BTC is now underwater.

​Fresh on-chain data from analyst Darkfost confirms that less than 45% of Bitcoin’s active supply is currently in profit.

​What the data shows:

• Dormant coins excluded: This metric strips out BTC untouched for 10+ years (illiquid/lost coins), focusing strictly on active market holders.

• The pain shift: With BTC trading near $67,000—its lowest level since August—addresses holding at a loss now outnumber those in profit.

• Historical playbook: Readings near 100% warn of overheated tops. Readings dropping below 40% have historically aligned with late-stage correction lows and contrarian accumulation.

​Trader take:

We are entering the capitulation-watch zone. Weak hands feel maximum pressure here, while disciplined capital watches for seller exhaustion rather than chasing green candles. Keep the 40% threshold on your radar—not as a blind buy trigger, but as a key gauge of downside momentum.

​Are you scaling in here or waiting for sub-40% confirmation? Drop your plan below 👇
$AKE
$SHELL

​#Bitcoin #Onchain #MarketUpdate #bitcoinactivesupplyinprofitdropsbelow45%

🔍 On-chain signal: Bitcoin’s active supply in profit has dropped below 45%.
In simple terms, fewer of the coins that are actually moving on the network are being moved at a price above where they were last bought. Analysts watch this metric because:
🔸 Fewer holders in profit can mean less selling pressure from people taking gains
🔸 It can also show that the market is under stress
Some traders see low readings as a sign the market may be close to a bottom, while others see more pain ahead. Nobody can say for sure.
Which side are you on? 👇
#BitcoinActiveSupplyInProfitDropsBelow45% #BTC
#Onchain #bitcoin

Two 50-bitcoin mining rewards that had sat unspent since September 2010 moved on November 13, 2026, together worth about $6.89 million.

At 04:08 UTC on November 13, 2026, a 50 BTC coinbase output from September 19, 2010 (block 80,723) was spent for the first time, splitting into about 49.99 BTC and 0.01 BTC at newer SegWit addresses, according to mempool.space and Whale Alert. About two minutes later, at 04:10 UTC, a second 50 BTC reward mined on September 8, 2010 (block 78,671) followed, sending about 49.00 BTC and 1 BTC to two other SegWit addresses. Each transfer paid a 1,110-satoshi fee, or about $0.75, and bitcoin was trading near $68,850.

The coins were worth only about $3 per reward when they were mined, when bitcoin traded around six cents. Some of the bitcoin was later consolidated, but the owners and whether any coins were sold remain unknown. $BTC

#Bitcoin #Onchain #Mining
DYOR. Not financial advice.

#BitcoinActiveSupplyInProfitDropsBelow45%
🧊 Under 45% in Profit. History Says Watch 40%

More active BTC now sits at a loss than in profit, a stress sign seen late in sell-offs.

📊 Under 45% of active supply in profit (Darkfost, ex 10Y+ dormant coins)
📈 Full supply: 56.56% in profit Nov 12 vs 69.39% a month earlier
📉 BTC ~$66,070, down ~4.5% in 24h and ~13% since Nov 7 close
⚠️ Readings under 40% have often lined up with pullback lows

My read: a stress gauge, not a bottom signal on its own.

Will active supply in profit hit 40% before Dec 31, or climb back above 50% first? 👇

$BTC
#BitcoinActiveSupplyInProfitDropsBelow45% #BTC #OnChain

🦈 $BTC ACTIVE SUPPLY GOES UNDERWATER AS SMART MONEY EYES CAPITULATION ZONES! 💥

Entry: 67,000 ⚡

Fresh on-chain telemetry reveals that over half of the active $BTC supply is currently underwater, stripping out long-term dormant coins to isolate true market positioning. Institutional order flow shows unhedged participants facing maximum pressure near the 67,000 threshold as historical metrics edge toward contrarian accumulation zones. 📊

Rather than chasing emotional green candles, patient capital monitors the approaching 40 percent threshold as a key structural gauge for seller exhaustion and cyclical lows. 💡

Are you scaling into this liquidity sweep or waiting for sub-40 percent confirmation? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #Onchain #MarketStructure #Liquidity

🔥 💎

🦈 ANCIENT 2011 $BTC WHALE WALLET WAKES UP AND MOVES 75 COINS AMIDST LEGAL BATTLE ⚡

Institutional radar is locked onto an ancient Satoshi-era wallet reactivating after over a decade of dormancy, shifting 75 $BTC previously flagged in a sweeping abandoned property lawsuit. 🦈

This on-chain movement provides definitive proof that legacy keys remain fully operational, instantly invalidating structural assumptions around long-term dormant supply pools. 🔍

While market participants watch order books for potential distribution, tracking historical whale footprints remains vital for assessing true circulating inventory. 📊 Are you treating these legacy awakenings as routine custody adjustments or an early warning sign? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #Satoshi #OnChain #Crypto

🦈 ⚡

🚀 $BNB had a $4.91M net outflow from exchanges in the past day, a clear pullback.

🔸 $BNB : $3.44M sent, $8.34M withdrawn, net $4.91M out
🔸 $POL : $1.16M sent, $1.04M withdrawn, net $119K in
🔸 $AVAX : $5.27M sent, $4.78M withdrawn, net $488K in
🔸 OP: $2.96M sent, $2.86M withdrawn, net $98K in

This is a sample of tracked on-chain transfers, not total market volume, and exchange flows are a hint, not a signal. With Bitcoin down 3.71% and fear high, could these moves signal more holding or upcoming buying? 🤔

Morning note. ☀️

#OnChain #MorningBrief

🦈 $ETH SMART MONEY ACCUMULATION ACCELERATES AS LIQUIDITY DRAINS FROM A MAJOR EXCHANGE 🌊

While broader market breadth contracts below key psychological thresholds, institutional footprints tell a completely different story. A dominant entity has siphoned over twenty-eight thousand tokens off order books across multiple tranches, signaling quiet positioning during peak volatility. 📊

This persistent structural outflow mirrors classic supply sequestration preceding impulsive markup phases. When heavy capital absorbs floating inventory despite macro headwinds, order flow dynamics shift heavily in favor of the patient bidder. 💡

💬 Are these institutional entities front-running an imminent structural reversal, or simply rebalancing cold storage reserves? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #ETH #SmartMoney #OnChain #Ethereum

🦈 💎

⚖️ $ETH UNDER $2,000: WHO'S DUMPING, WHO'S BUYING

Selling:
→ Ethereum Foundation-linked wallet: another 2,000 ETH ($3.87M), its 4th sale since Oct 12
→ A 2015 ICO whale: 16,700 ETH (about $32.3M) in one shot
→ A wallet funded from Tornado Cash: 1,499.5 ETH dumped at $1,998

Buying:
→ One whale pulled another 10.38K ETH (about $20.24M) off Binance, 28.43K ETH (~$61M) over 3 months

Lookonchain points to a pattern: after earlier EF-linked sales, ETH fell 9% (Oct 12), 7.7% (Oct 26) and 10.4% (Nov 10).

The buyer isn't having a great time either. One tracker puts its average entry near $2,382.

Next stop for ETH: $1,800 or back to $2,200?

#Ethereum #ETH #WhaleAlert #OnChain

🦈 $ETH WHALE WALLET ROTATION: OVER 1,500 COINS ROUTED THROUGH PRIVACY PROTOCOLS! 🔍

On-chain analytics reveal a persistent multi-week capital movement as a tracked entity shifts substantial inventory across decentralized networks 📊. Roughly 1,529 units of $ETH have been steadily funneled through privacy-enhancing smart contracts, leaving market participants watching order flow distribution closely 🔍.

These structural wallet shuffles often precede liquidity redistribution across major venues 🌊. As blockchain forensic teams work to trace the remaining balance, transparency remains the ultimate edge for discerning order flow analysts.

💬 Will on-chain investigators successfully map out the final destination of these distributed assets? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #ETH #OnChain #Crypto #SmartMoney

🔥 💎

🐋 Two Bitcoin wallets from 2010 wake up after 16 years and move 100 BTC

Two Bitcoin addresses that had not moved in more than 16 years sent 50 BTC each on Friday, worth about $6.89 million in total, according to onchain data. Both sets of coins were block rewards mined in September 2010, when Whale Alert estimates each 50 BTC was worth roughly $3.

The coins went to new native SegWit (bc1q) addresses, with part of them consolidated into a single wallet. Who owns them, and why they moved now, remains unknown.

⭐ Wake-ups of Satoshi-era coins are closely watched because any sign they could be sold adds supply worries, especially while the market is already under pressure.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Whale #OnChain

ETH WHALE SWAPS $32.55M IN ETH, RECEIVES JUST $30.94M!

A whale has reportedly withdrawn 8,876 $ETH from Aave before swapping 16,700 ETH for USDT through CoWSwap.

On-chain data shows:

• ETH transferred: 16,700 (~$32.55M)
• USDT received: $30.94M
• Difference: ~$1.61M

The same whale reportedly bought 8,631 ETH at an average price of $2,743 just one month ago.

That's a significant gap between the displayed ETH valuation and the swap proceeds, although it doesn't necessarily represent the whale's realized trading loss.

Is this panic selling or a strategic exit? 👀

#Ethereum #OnChain

🦈 $BTC ON-CHAIN METRICS FLASH EXTREME COOLING AS WEAK HANDS FLUSH OUT 📉

Entry: 68,000 ⚡
Target: 75,400 🚀

The on-chain temperature gauge just hit deep freeze territory with the MVRV Z-score compressing toward historic accumulation zones. 📊 Short-term holders are absorbing unrealized pain near the ten percent drawdown mark, which historically suffocates organic selling pressure and sets up clean trend reversals. ⚡

Smart capital treats these macro cool-downs as methodical scaling windows rather than reasons to panic. 💡 Are you accumulating into this liquidity vacuum or waiting for confirmation above resistance? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #OnChain #MarketCorrection #Crypto

🔥 💎

🚨 2010 SATOSHI-ERA $BTC WALLETS WAKE UP AFTER 16 YEARS TO STIR ONCHAIN ANXIETY! 🦈

Ancient block rewards mined when tokens traded for pocket change just migrated to modern SegWit addresses. When dormant capital from the genesis era shifts onchain, order books feel the psychological weight of potential distribution. 🦈

While one hundred coins is a microscopic drop in a multi-billion dollar ocean, the optical signaling rattles market sentiment during fragile macro conditions. Smart money watches how these ancestral reserves interact with liquidity pools rather than panicking over minor inflows. 📊

💬 Are these ancient whales prepping to test spot liquidity, or just cleaning up forgotten keys? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #OnChain #WhaleAlert #MarketUpdate

🦈 ⚡

ETH WHALE KEEPS ACCUMULATING AS BITCOIN FALLS BELOW $70K!

While the crypto market faces heavy selling pressure, one whale is still moving ETH off Binance.

Latest on-chain activity:

• Just withdrew 10.38K $ETH ($20.24M)
• Total accumulated over 3 months: 28.43K ETH (~$61.08M)
• Wallet: 0x4cee61...cee4a7

The whale has been consistently withdrawing ETH from Binance, even as market volatility increases.

Exchange withdrawals don't always mean buying, but this wallet is worth watching.

Is this whale positioning for an ETH recovery? 👀

#Ethereum #OnChain

Quick look at yesterday's on-chain flows (a sample, not total market volume). $OP saw $2.82M in, $2.79M out - basically flat. $ARB had $1.93M in and $3.75M out, net $1.81M leaving exchanges. $BNB moved $4.60M in vs $7.97M out, net $3.37M out. POL, SOL and AVAX were roughly balanced, with only $99K, $80K and $735K net out respectively.

Meanwhile BTC slipped 5.14% to $69,126 and the Fear & Greed Index is at 20 (Extreme Fear). Those outflows could hint at accumulation, but it's just a hint, not a signal.

Do you see this as a sign of holding or something else coming?

Thoughts filed. ✍️

#OnChain #Crypto #BNB

ETHEREUM FOUNDATION SELLS ANOTHER 2,000 ETH AS THE CRYPTO MARKET SLIDES!

The Ethereum Foundation just swapped 2,000 $ETH for approximately $3.87M USDS through CoWSwap.

On-chain data shows two transactions:

• 1,000 ETH → 1.934M USDS
• 1,000 ETH → 1.933M USDS

That brings its reported sales to 4,000 ETH in just 3 days, following 15 days of inactivity.

The timing is interesting, especially with ETH already under selling pressure.

Is the Foundation simply managing its treasury, or should ETH holders be concerned? 👀

#Ethereum #OnChain

🦈 $BTC AND $ETH RESERVES SHIFT AS SMART MONEY TRACKS INSTITUTIONAL TRANSPARENCY METRICS 📊

Recent proof-of-reserves data from a major exchange reveals structural shifts across key assets following a high-profile security incident. 📊 User holdings of $BTC expanded to 687,900 coins while $ETH climbed past 3.48 million tokens.

Concurrently, stablecoin balances contracted by nearly a billion tokens amid aggressive asset replenishment and liquidity rebalancing. 💡 Institutional observers monitor these balance sheet adjustments closely to gauge true custodial health beneath the surface. 🔍

💬 Are these balance sheet flows signaling robust risk management, or do you demand independent comprehensive audits before trusting platform reserves? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #ETH #BNB #OnChain

🦈 ⚖️

🦈 $ETH SMART MONEY IS SILENTLY DRAINING RESERVES WHILE THE BROADER MARKET BLEEDS! 🌊

While blood spills across the order books and Bitcoin tests nerves below seventy thousand, heavy hitters are playing a completely different game. Fresh on chain tracking reveals a single titan scooping up another ten thousand coins in a single sweep off a major exchange. 🌊

That brings their three month haul to over twenty eight thousand coins safely locked away in cold storage. This kind of aggressive offline positioning during peak volatility usually signals long term conviction rather than short term noise. 📊

💡 Are these institutional hands positioning for a violent trend reversal, or just hedging against deeper turbulence? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #ETH #OnChain #Ethereum #Crypto

🦈 💎

🚨 $BTC $68,616 | $ETH $1,935 | $BNB $630.18, markets are slipping.

Biggest net outflows this hour: ByBit $9.23M (354 transfers), Coinbase $6.85M (944 transfers) and Bitfinex $15.98M (38 transfers). On the flip side, Bithumb pulled in $4.15M (16 transfers) and Wintermute took in $5.63M (11 transfers).

Remember, this is just a sample of tracked on-chain transfers, not total market volume, so flows are a hint, not a signal. Stay vigilant, lock it down! What could these moves mean for short-term liquidity?

#OnChain #CryptoSafety #MarketWatch